$ run early-signal_
See deals 6–12 months before they reach the market.
Continuous monitoring of advisor changes, executive departures, and market signals that precede a process — so you're in the room before the banker calls.
- stage
- Signal
- pilot
- 4–8 wks
- data
- yours
- runs
- 24/7
What a single run of Early Signal actually looks like.
Anonymized sample. Numbers and company names are illustrative. The shape of the run — sources, scoring, routing — is what you'd see on your own data.
By the time a banker calls, the process is competitive and the price reflects it. The advantage is in seeing a deal forming 6–12 months early — before it's a process.
Those early signals exist in public view, but no one has time to watch for them across an entire target universe.
What manual signal work actually costs.
- 01Months of lead on a process before it reaches market6–12If you're watching for the right signals — automatically.
- 02Hours per week on advisor / exec change monitoring8–15Done by reading news, by people who have other work too.
- 03Share of processes you hear about pre-banker<20%When monitoring is manual and inconsistent.
How Early Signal runs.
- S01
Define the watch list
Set the companies and sectors that matter to your thesis.
- S02
Monitor leading indicators
Track advisor changes, executive departures, hiring shifts, funding events, and market signals that precede a sale.
- S03
Correlate and rank
Combine signals into a likelihood score so noise doesn't bury the real movement.
- S04
Alert the right partner
When a target crosses a threshold, the partner who owns that relationship hears about it first.
Move the slider to your scale. Watch the manual cost collapse.
An illustrative model, on your own numbers — not a sales chart. The real figures come from a pilot on your data.
run · watch advisors, execs & filings → flag pre-process signals → weekly digest
Advisor moves, exec departures, and market triggers are watched continuously — 6–12 months before a banker calls.
Want these results on your own deals?
Request a walkthroughIllustrative model · NDA-protected pilot on your data
Anonymized · NDA-protected
Advisor mandate detected early
A shift in a target's advisory relationships flagged a likely process months before it reached the market.
Leadership-change signal
A pattern of executive departures at a watch-list company prompted an early, relationship-led approach.
What we hand over at the end of the pilot.
A 30-minute, NDA-protected walkthrough on your own process.
A monitoring system of this kind typically runs in the low-thousands per month, against the outsized return of winning a single proprietary deal.
Detailed line items shared during scoping.
Engagement model
We typically pilot Early Signal over 4–8 weeks on your own data. References available under NDA. Engagement letter, scope, and SLA provided before kickoff.
$ ./request_walkthrough early-signal_
A 30-minute, NDA-protected walkthrough on your own process. We bring the working system. You bring the questions.